Cash Flow Deal Funding Gap

Dennis McCarthy – dennis@boustead1828.com – 213-222-8260

In prior articles, I’ve highlighted investor’s strong demand for current cash flow deals.

Many investors want to get a good portion of their return along the way and don’t want their whole return at risk for the future.

In today’s financial market, that makes sense.  Who knows what economic environment we’ll face in the next 5 years, not to mention further into the future.

So, capital is flowing into funds providing current returns, like infrastructure, energy, alternative energy, real assets, mezzanine and similar funds.

This capital inflow is generally good for bankers like me with projects seeking capital.

The problem, however, is that with so much capital flowing into funds, funds have grown to be enormous. These enormous funds look to invest in projects requiring large amounts of capital.

Ironically, with all that capital flowing into funds looking for a current return, there’s a funding gap for smaller projects and companies.

For example, we’re in the market with a renewable energy project with a total capital budget north of $350 million.  That amounts gets attention.

The project, however, has attracted strong interest from lenders so the actual equity check required is only 10-15% of the capital budget.

Sounds good, doesn’t it.  The problem is that many funds find a project requiring less than $50 million of equity to be too small. For many funds, under $100 million is too small.

Fortunately for our client, and us, some funds will consider smaller equity investments, preferring to avoid the intense competition for large deals.

I believe that when we look back in 5 to 10 years, smaller equity check deals, under $100 million, will have provided a better return than that of the huge deals.  Time will tell.

If your fund will consider a project where the equity check is smaller, please contact us.  We have attractive projects and would like to get to know just what type of project fits your fund.

Also, if you have a cash flow project, please contact us to discuss your capital market plans.

Interest Rate Risk – “Preaching to the Choir”

Dennis McCarthy – (213) 222-8260 – dennismccarthy@ariesmgmt.com

“Preaching to the choir”.  In this case, the choir is me.  It seems that every commercial banker I meet, tells me to advise my clients, or anyone who’ll listen, to lock in today’s low interest rates.

When I ask, “what’s the risk?”, I get a lecture that we’re in an interest rate bubble and that despite the Fed’s announcement about the Fed Funds rate, business loan rates will likely rise, especially after the election.

When I confess that I not only believe them but share their concern, I ask “what should a company do to lock in these low rates?” 

Since most companies have floating rate business loans, the bankers’ most common recommendation is to enter into a swap arrangement to fix the rate.

The cost of the swap, especially after tax, is considered very low cost insurance relative to the risk of a rise in interest rates.

A swap is not the only way, however.  Some bankers recommended fixed rate term loans or even public bond issues if the financing is large enough. 

One of my clients raised its first high yield bond last week so I’m doing my best to help companies to reduce interest rate risk.  My banker friends would be pleased that their preaching paid off.

I can help your company to lock in low current interest rates.  Please contact me.  Thank you.

Behind The Headlines On Interest Rates

 

The Federal Reserve announced that economic factors “are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels for the federal funds rate at least through late 2014.”

This will, no doubt, influence interest rates through this period, but this is not the sole determinant of a company’s interest rate as noted in my post “Seems Smart Now“.

For example, the debt market for corporations, both large and small, is influenced by supply and demand factors in addition to the benchmark federal funds rate.  The predicted reduction in demand for corporate debt by collateralized loan obligation (CLO) funds suggests that companies may see higher new issue interest rates.  In contrast, any increase in demand by other lenders such as high yield bond and “relative value” investors may ease rates.

The recent post, “No Loan Left Behind“, by Randy Schwimmer of Churchill Middle Market Finance, now a unit of The Carlyle Group, describes these supply and demand forces at work on the larger size loan market (size above $100 million).

To support Randy’s view that high yield investors are supplying critical demand, this week one of my clients successfully priced its first high yield bond replacing other financing sources.

My message is that while Fed action gets the headlines, there are several other factors at work, behind the headlines, which influence a company’s debt rate.

Dennis McCarthy

(213) 222-8260

dennismccarthy@ariesmgmt.com

Short-term Debt Seems Smart Now

dennismccarthy@ariesmgmt.com

(213) 222-8260

With short-term interest rates at historically low levels, many small cap companies are funding all their capital needs with short-term debt.

Can you blame them?  Small cap companies are borrowing at 2 to 3% floating rates or a bit more if swapped to fixed rates.

Yes, it is a short maturity, one to three years, but the lenders will extend it when due.  They said they would.

 Yes, we all know that old maxim, fund long-term assets with long-term capital but companies are saving so much in interest by borrowing short-term.

What’s the risk, anyway? If rates start to rise, companies can refinance with long-term capital then.

I hear this a lot.  It worries me.  

Interest rates may rise unexpectedly and fast.  When the time comes to lock in long-term capital, there’ll likely be a rush to refinance.

First,  who lends for 5 to 10 years – insurance companies, specialty lenders, the public bond market?

There are limits to how much and how fast these markets can absorb new debt.

Second, what will happen to interest rates?  Spreads on corporate debt have already widened since this summer.  What do you think will happen to interest rates when there’s a rush to refinance?

I’ve been encouraging small cap companies to be prudent, to borrow some capital long-term.  Create a relationship with the long-term debt market now, before the rush.

In the rush to refinance, you’ll want your company to be the first in line because your company is already a known participant in the long-term debt market. 

Now, that’s a smart move.

Please contact me to discuss this or any of my posts. Thank you.

Offer Yield Securities – What Investors Want

dennismccarthy@ariesmgmt.com

(213) 222-8260

This is the second in a series of posts about how a company can best  respond to our current capital markets environment.

Frequently, our clients express their frustration that the equity market is so volatile now that investors seem reluctant to act.  Many investors are unsure whether they’ll get a positive return on their investment.

This has driven many to seek out securities with a yield, maybe interest on debt or a dividend on equity.

Seeing this, we’ve come up with a transaction which responds to investors’ current preferences.

We’ve advised companies to offer their common shareholders a new yield-oriented security in exchange for their common.

We’ve tailored the exchange offers to fit our client’s specific circumstances, there are a number of variations available.

The key is that our clients offer what is in great demand, a yield security, in exchange for what seems less in demand, plain common stock.

We’d be happy to discuss this idea with you to determine whether it works in your situation. 

Please call me or email me.  Thank you.

dennismccarthy@ariesmgmt.com

(213) 222-8260

Capitalmarketalerts.com

What now? Where can I get capital?

dennismccarthy@ariesmgmt.com

(213) 222-8260

Well, it’s the Fall of 2011, Wall Street has been highly volatile as fears of a new recession and disarray in the Eurozone dominate the news.

As I talk with clients and friends, the discussion always comes around to the question “now what?”  What if my company needs capital?  Where can I go?

First, there’s debt.

The debt markets are open for business.  Based on my experience, finance companies and banks are lending.  The public debt market is open too.

A borrower’s projections may get more “stress testing” now but interest rates are historically low.

Second, there’s asset sales

In part because debt is available, buyers are active. If your company needs to raise cash, you might consider selling a business.

I know companies who’ve raised cash in this manner.  They’ve gotten good prices for the businesses sold and are now deploying the money. 

Third, large cash-rich corporations may be a source of capital for your company. 

Sometimes these relationships take the form of direct equity investments into your company but many times they take the form of JVs, licenses, cash advances or even simple grants.

These deals work when the relationship benefits the large company’s business, even if indirectly. 

Lastly, don’t forget equity.

You may wish for higher prices when selling equity but you should also be pragmatic.  You should ask yourself “how critical is the having cash now?  What is the investment opportunity?  Does it justify the cost of raising equity now?”

Again, my name is Dennis McCarthy.  I’m happy to discuss funding options with you.  My contact information is below.