No Growth? Not Us!

A frequent response to my post “Living with No Growth” focused on the argument that the US will benefit from continued growth in Asia, particularly China, to escape a slow to no growth world.

While the optimist in me hopes this is true, the message I’m getting from reputable sources in China is that its economy is experiencing stresses which may result in a “harder landing” than had been hoped.  The benefit to the US, therefore, may be less than expected.

One of my sources on developments in China is Patrick Chovanec whose Bio and bloglink is below:

Patrick Chovanec (程致宇) is an associate professor at Tsinghua University’s School of Economics and Management in Beijing, China, where he teaches in the school’s International MBA Program.  His insights into Chinese business, economics, politics, and culture have been featured by international media including CNN, BBC, Time, Newsweek, Wall Street Journal, Financial Times, Bloomberg, New York Times, Washington Post, Forbes, Foreign Policy, The Atlantic, PBS, NPR, and Al Jazeera.  He is a regular guest commentator on Chinese Central Television (CCTV-9) and China Radio International (CRI), and serves as Chairman of the Public Policy Development Committee for the American Chamber of Commerce in China.

Blog: An American Perspective From China

Thank you.

Dennis McCarthy

dennismccarthy@ariesmgmt.com

213-222-8260